Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 57.744553 65.760542 74.025995 83.152068 92.913360 103.010717 114.214797
2025-04-27 46.435205 57.927022 70.375484 84.724410 100.676707 117.747951 137.280642
2025-05-04 38.545250 51.727893 66.565006 84.216048 104.377063 126.449052 152.209610
2025-05-11 32.346761 46.543313 63.099306 83.354675 107.030555 133.443482 164.767254
2025-05-18 28.181606 43.216112 61.312491 83.988795 111.005515 141.606676 178.358087
2025-05-25 24.209728 39.661243 58.864198 83.494998 113.375669 147.699660 189.397305
2025-06-01 21.217491 37.031162 57.280695 83.805736 116.498944 154.510043 201.136709
2025-06-08 18.131665 33.939385 54.843949 82.832091 117.887626 159.137585 210.219948
2025-06-15 16.327708 32.438524 54.321399 84.138082 121.957822 166.874388 222.900834
2025-06-22 14.785903 31.151050 53.959430 85.551573 126.089400 174.638753 235.589279
2025-06-29 12.711324 28.835330 52.030004 84.791044 127.399174 178.920879 244.079788
2025-07-06 10.530628 26.089168 49.303886 82.814519 127.041163 181.072854 249.938767
2025-07-13 9.983885 25.992521 50.362511 85.950318 133.279128 191.407959 265.790097
2025-07-20 9.148180 25.311069 50.515564 87.825382 137.885550 199.743561 279.255529
2025-07-27 7.806102 23.560400 48.963780 87.263263 139.257579 204.018486 287.750927
2025-08-03 6.555780 21.792879 47.259933 86.390235 140.147751 207.639360 295.410380
2025-08-10 5.761324 20.793473 46.671047 87.036854 143.009301 213.714512 306.074290
2025-08-17 4.841161 19.382028 45.330248 86.532669 144.282848 217.748124 314.198839
2025-08-24 4.168976 18.387072 44.592038 86.850026 146.625547 223.119406 323.971534
2025-08-31 3.377271 16.948056 43.013665 85.855530 147.133733 226.108946 330.756572
2025-09-07 3.003812 16.460833 43.014962 87.189471 150.812259 233.168632 342.632514
2025-09-14 2.680563 16.040926 43.101273 88.633016 154.634362 240.415906 354.755315
2025-09-21 2.136076 14.863218 41.765852 87.856342 155.343015 243.605660 361.765117